Posted by: teresitaabaykrueger | January 28, 2016

Moving Beyond the Prediction to Insight

“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” – Yogi Berra, professional baseball catcher and Hall of Fame inductee 1972

Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” – Niels Bohr, physicist and Nobel Prize Winner 1922

Each year, pundits galore across all industry and topical areas predict the trends that will impact thmindmaplabrynthe coming year. I’m quite familiar with this exercise over the better part of my career with IBM, where it took a calendar year to collect, comment, analyze and vet the avalanche of technology ideas on the horizon.

Yet the irony in these predictions is that the world is moving too fast and it no longer makes much sense to measure trends in annual increments. Just go to any refresh button on Twitter or Yahoo feed and in a matter of seconds you’ll quickly see trends appear and disappear from your view. Still, the greatest gains from these insightful, and sometimes “crystal ball witchery ” has me hooked, because despite the inherent errors, these predictions are aimed at putting the technology revolution into context for companies and startup alike. The digital economy alone, now accounts for 22 percent of the world’s total economy, up from 15 percent in 2005. That percentage will grow to 25 percent by 2020. And the disruption caused by digital isn’t over yet. (Source: Accenture, released its top five tech trends for 2016).

That said, trends instruct the need to shift strategies throughout your entire existence. Some of my favorite trend watching sources include;

I use these useful bellwethers of change about the Technology Age rewriting the rules, offering up challenges and ultimately identifying opportunities.


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